Stock Analysis

Pinning Down Guangdong Jialong Food Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002495) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

SZSE:002495
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Food industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.5x, Guangdong Jialong Food Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002495) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 6.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Guangdong Jialong Food

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002495 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2024

What Does Guangdong Jialong Food's Recent Performance Look Like?

The revenue growth achieved at Guangdong Jialong Food over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangdong Jialong Food, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Guangdong Jialong Food?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Guangdong Jialong Food's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 25% gain to the company's top line. Revenue has also lifted 6.8% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 15% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Guangdong Jialong Food's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Guangdong Jialong Food's P/S?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that Guangdong Jialong Food currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Guangdong Jialong Food that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Guangdong Jialong Food is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.