Stock Analysis

Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000860) Stock Catapults 26% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

SZSE:000860
Source: Shutterstock

Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000860) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 21% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, Beijing Shunxin AgricultureLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Beverage industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.1x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Beijing Shunxin AgricultureLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000860 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 28th 2024

What Does Beijing Shunxin AgricultureLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Beijing Shunxin AgricultureLtd could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Beijing Shunxin AgricultureLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Beijing Shunxin AgricultureLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 11%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 34% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 11% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 14% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Beijing Shunxin AgricultureLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in Beijing Shunxin AgricultureLtd have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Beijing Shunxin AgricultureLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Beijing Shunxin AgricultureLtd with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If you're unsure about the strength of Beijing Shunxin AgricultureLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Beijing Shunxin AgricultureLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.