Jiugui Liquor Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Jiugui Liquor is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 37.7% and 19.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 37.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 21.7% in 3 years.

Key information

37.7%

Earnings growth rate

37.7%

EPS growth rate

Beverage earnings growth	11.7%
Revenue growth rate	19.4%
Future return on equity	21.7%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	12 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Earnings Report: Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. Missed Revenue Estimates By 48%

May 01

Recent updates

Market Participants Recognise Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000799) Revenues Pushing Shares 26% Higher

Nov 12

Jiugui Liquor's (SZSE:000799) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Nov 06

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000799) Shares Could Be 26% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Oct 28

Investors Appear Satisfied With Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000799) Prospects As Shares Rocket 36%

Sep 28

The Returns On Capital At Jiugui Liquor (SZSE:000799) Don't Inspire Confidence

Aug 20

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000799) Shares Could Be 41% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Jul 12

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SZSE:000799 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	2,578	428	431	585	9
12/31/2025	2,328	367	-181	171	10
12/31/2024	1,777	142	487	478	6
9/30/2024	1,878	126	-818	-418	N/A
6/30/2024	2,282	247	-634	-241	N/A
3/31/2024	2,359	321	-727	-379	N/A
12/31/2023	2,830	548	-311	51	N/A
9/30/2023	2,707	556	-419	-100	N/A
6/30/2023	3,055	753	-129	183	N/A
3/31/2023	3,327	828	224	523	N/A
1/1/2023	4,050	1,049	157	401	N/A
9/30/2022	4,260	1,145	1,134	1,361	N/A
6/30/2022	4,238	1,101	969	1,186	N/A
3/31/2022	4,195	1,147	1,227	1,413	N/A
1/1/2022	3,414	893	1,407	1,565	N/A
9/30/2021	3,339	881	1,074	1,192	N/A
6/30/2021	2,818	817	1,319	1,396	N/A
3/31/2021	2,421	663	1,124	1,193	N/A
12/31/2020	1,826	492	900	950	N/A
9/30/2020	1,671	446	681	723	N/A
6/30/2020	1,525	328	459	493	N/A
3/31/2020	1,478	323	315	340	N/A
12/31/2019	1,512	299	347	382	N/A
9/30/2019	1,395	246	197	334	N/A
6/30/2019	1,372	264	122	259	N/A
3/31/2019	1,268	233	75	207	N/A
12/31/2018	1,187	223	91	212	N/A
9/30/2018	1,087	221	225	232	N/A
6/30/2018	1,031	208	N/A	303	N/A
3/31/2018	962	202	N/A	249	N/A
12/31/2017	878	176	N/A	225	N/A
9/30/2017	772	159	N/A	170	N/A
6/30/2017	734	153	N/A	168	N/A
3/31/2017	669	117	N/A	165	N/A
12/31/2016	655	109	N/A	219	N/A
9/30/2016	601	93	N/A	133	N/A
6/30/2016	586	88	N/A	170	N/A
3/31/2016	607	98	N/A	222	N/A
12/31/2015	601	89	N/A	231	N/A
9/30/2015	551	40	N/A	261	N/A
6/30/2015	517	-14	N/A	162	N/A
3/31/2015	468	-80	N/A	70	N/A
12/31/2014	388	-97	N/A	-66	N/A
9/30/2014	473	-133	N/A	-174	N/A
6/30/2014	484	-112	N/A	-240	N/A
3/31/2014	568	-45	N/A	-384	N/A
12/31/2013	685	-37	N/A	-468	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 000799's forecast earnings growth (37.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: 000799's earnings (37.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the CN market (26.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 000799's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 000799's revenue (19.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the CN market (13.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 000799's revenue (19.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 000799's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (21.7%)

Jiugui Liquor Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 7.9% to CN¥53.77

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 23%

Price target decreased by 9.6% to CN¥66.38

Earnings Report: Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. Missed Revenue Estimates By 48%

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 18%

Price target decreased by 10% to CN¥92.43

Recent updates

Market Participants Recognise Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000799) Revenues Pushing Shares 26% Higher

Jiugui Liquor's (SZSE:000799) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: CN¥0.20 loss per share (vs CN¥0.17 profit in 3Q 2023)

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000799) Shares Could Be 26% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 31, 2024

Investors Appear Satisfied With Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000799) Prospects As Shares Rocket 36%

New minor risk - Share price stability

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.15 (vs CN¥0.38 in 2Q 2023)

The Returns On Capital At Jiugui Liquor (SZSE:000799) Don't Inspire Confidence

Dividend reduced to CN¥1.00

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. Implements Final Profit Distribution Plan of A Shares, Payable on 31 July 2024

Price target decreased by 7.9% to CN¥53.77

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000799) Shares Could Be 41% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 29, 2024

Is It Time To Consider Buying Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000799)?

Less than half of directors are independent

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 28, 2024

Jiugui Liquor's (SZSE:000799) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 23%

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Price target decreased by 9.6% to CN¥66.38

Earnings Report: Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. Missed Revenue Estimates By 48%

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.69 (vs CN¥3.23 in FY 2022)

Jiugui Liquor (SZSE:000799) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 29, 2024

Sentiment Still Eluding Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000799)

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. Elects Gao Feng as Non-Independent Director and Gao Feng as Non-Independent Director

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Apr 29, 2024

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.17 (vs CN¥0.78 in 3Q 2022)

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 18%

Price target decreased by 10% to CN¥92.43

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Price target decreased by 9.2% to CN¥103

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 17%

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.38 (vs CN¥0.61 in 2Q 2022)

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 28, 2023

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 16%, EPS upgraded

Price target decreased by 9.7% to CN¥120

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. Proposes Final Cash Dividend for the Year 2022

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 29%

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥3.23 (vs CN¥2.75 in FY 2021)

Less than half of directors are independent

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Price target decreased to CN¥139

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.78 (vs CN¥0.65 in 3Q 2021)

Now 24% undervalued after recent price drop

Price target decreased to CN¥152

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.61 (vs CN¥0.75 in 2Q 2021)

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. Announces 2021 Final Distribution Plan of Cash Dividend Per 10 A Shares; Payable on 29 July 2022

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. Approves Cash Dividend for the Year 2021

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 27, 2022

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. Announces Final Cash Dividend Proposal for 2021

Price target decreased to CN¥185

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Less than half of directors are independent

Price target decreased to CN¥231

Price target decreased to CN¥231

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.65 (vs CN¥0.45 in 3Q 2020)

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.75 (vs CN¥0.27 in 2Q 2020)

Consensus EPS estimates increase to CN¥2.74

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. Proposes Final Cash Dividend for 2020

First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.82 (vs CN¥0.30 in 1Q 2020)

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥1.51 (vs CN¥0.92 in FY 2019)

New 90-day high: CN¥196

New 90-day high: CN¥130

New 90-day high: CN¥115

New 90-day high: CN¥114