Stock Analysis

There May Be Reason For Hope In BestoreLtd's (SHSE:603719) Disappointing Earnings

SHSE:603719
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The market shrugged off Bestore Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603719) weak earnings report last week. Our analysis suggests that there are some positive factors lying below the troubling profit numbers which investors are finding comfort in.

View our latest analysis for BestoreLtd

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SHSE:603719 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024

A Closer Look At BestoreLtd's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to March 2024, BestoreLtd had an accrual ratio of -0.47. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥653m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥94.1m. BestoreLtd shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Surprisingly, given BestoreLtd's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥87m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. BestoreLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to March 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

Our Take On BestoreLtd's Profit Performance

BestoreLtd's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if BestoreLtd's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. If you'd like to know more about BestoreLtd as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 3 warning signs with BestoreLtd, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if BestoreLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.