Stock Analysis

Earnings Working Against Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600809) Share Price

SHSE:600809
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Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600809) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.9x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 28x and even P/E's above 53x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Recent times have been advantageous for Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600809 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 19th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 29% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 193% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 17% each year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 23% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd's P/E?

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.