Stock Analysis

Oriental Energy (SZSE:002221) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

SZSE:002221
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There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at Oriental Energy (SZSE:002221), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Oriental Energy, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.045 = CN¥1.1b ÷ (CN¥42b - CN¥18b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

Therefore, Oriental Energy has an ROCE of 4.5%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Oil and Gas industry average of 11%.

View our latest analysis for Oriental Energy

roce
SZSE:002221 Return on Capital Employed June 26th 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Oriental Energy compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Oriental Energy .

The Trend Of ROCE

In terms of Oriental Energy's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 4.5% from 13% five years ago. However it looks like Oriental Energy might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

On a side note, Oriental Energy's current liabilities are still rather high at 42% of total assets. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.

In Conclusion...

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Oriental Energy's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Unsurprisingly then, the total return to shareholders over the last five years has been flat. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Oriental Energy has the makings of a multi-bagger.

Oriental Energy does come with some risks though, we found 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those can't be ignored...

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.