Stock Analysis

Is Shandong Xinchao Energy (SHSE:600777) Using Too Much Debt?

SHSE:600777
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Shandong Xinchao Energy Corporation Limited (SHSE:600777) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Shandong Xinchao Energy

What Is Shandong Xinchao Energy's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shandong Xinchao Energy had CN¥7.03b of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥7.69b, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥3.19b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥3.85b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600777 Debt to Equity History June 28th 2024

How Healthy Is Shandong Xinchao Energy's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shandong Xinchao Energy had liabilities of CN¥2.73b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥11.2b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.19b and CN¥1.21b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥9.54b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥12.4b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Shandong Xinchao Energy has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.56. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 11.3 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. It is just as well that Shandong Xinchao Energy's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 30% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Shandong Xinchao Energy's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Shandong Xinchao Energy recorded free cash flow worth 78% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Shandong Xinchao Energy's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Shandong Xinchao Energy's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Shandong Xinchao Energy's earnings per share history for free.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shandong Xinchao Energy is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shandong Xinchao Energy is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com