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The total return for Guosen Securities (SZSE:002736) investors has risen faster than earnings growth over the last year
Guosen Securities Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002736) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 11% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the reality that over twelve months the stock has done really well. To wit, it had solidly beat the market, up 26%.
Although Guosen Securities has shed CN¥7.7b from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
View our latest analysis for Guosen Securities
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the last year Guosen Securities grew its earnings per share (EPS) by 3.0%. This EPS growth is significantly lower than the 26% increase in the share price. This indicates that the market is now more optimistic about the stock.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Guosen Securities' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Guosen Securities' TSR for the last 1 year was 30%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
It's good to see that Guosen Securities has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 30% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 0.7% per year over the last half decade. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Guosen Securities better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Guosen Securities has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
But note: Guosen Securities may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002736
Guosen Securities
Provides financial products and services to individual and institutional clients in China.
Established dividend payer and fair value.