Stock Analysis
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- SHSE:600358
Revenues Not Telling The Story For China Tourism And Culture Investment Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600358) After Shares Rise 25%
China Tourism And Culture Investment Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600358) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 7.1% over the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Hospitality industry is similar at about 5.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd
How China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd Has Been Performing
For instance, China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.3%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 25% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 31% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What Does China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?
China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our look at China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600358
China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd
Engages in the investment and operation of cultural, tourism, and sports projects in China.