Stock Analysis

China Tourism And Culture Investment Group Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600358) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 26%

SHSE:600358
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China Tourism And Culture Investment Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600358) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 37% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, it would still be understandable if you think China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.9x, considering almost half the companies in China's Hospitality industry have P/S ratios above 4.3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600358 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 21st 2024

How China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.6%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 11% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 27% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's understandable that China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What Does China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd's P/S close to the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

It's no surprise that China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.