Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (SZSE:301011) With Shares Advancing 49%

SZSE:301011
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GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (SZSE:301011) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 49% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 11% is also fairly reasonable.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking GuangZhou Wahlap Technology is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.7x, considering almost half the companies in China's Leisure industry have P/S ratios below 3x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for GuangZhou Wahlap Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301011 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 9th 2024

How GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Has Been Performing

Revenue has risen firmly for GuangZhou Wahlap Technology recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on GuangZhou Wahlap Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as GuangZhou Wahlap Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 29%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 61% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 21% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that GuangZhou Wahlap Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From GuangZhou Wahlap Technology's P/S?

GuangZhou Wahlap Technology shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

The fact that GuangZhou Wahlap Technology currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for GuangZhou Wahlap Technology (of which 2 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on GuangZhou Wahlap Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.