Stock Analysis

Time To Worry? Analysts Are Downgrading Their Xiamen Intretech Inc. (SZSE:002925) Outlook

SZSE:002925
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One thing we could say about the analysts on Xiamen Intretech Inc. (SZSE:002925) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with the analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon.

Following the downgrade, the current consensus from Xiamen Intretech's four analysts is for revenues of CN¥5.0b in 2024 which - if met - would reflect a major 34% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to surge 44% to CN¥0.79. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥5.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.06 in 2024. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Xiamen Intretech's prospects, administering a measurable cut to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.

See our latest analysis for Xiamen Intretech

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002925 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 5th 2024

The consensus price target fell 6.0% to CN¥18.80, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's clear from the latest estimates that Xiamen Intretech's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 34% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 2.8% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 9.3% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Xiamen Intretech is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Xiamen Intretech. While analysts did downgrade their revenue estimates, these forecasts still imply revenues will perform better than the wider market. Given the scope of the downgrades, it would not be a surprise to see the market become more wary of the business.

Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Xiamen Intretech going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.