Stock Analysis

Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Huafu Fashion Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002042) Even After 32% Share Price Boost

SZSE:002042
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Those holding Huafu Fashion Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002042) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 32% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Looking further back, the 22% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it would still be understandable if you think Huafu Fashion is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.5x, considering almost half the companies in China's Luxury industry have P/S ratios above 1.6x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Huafu Fashion

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002042 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 1st 2024

What Does Huafu Fashion's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, Huafu Fashion has been very sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the revenue slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Huafu Fashion.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Huafu Fashion's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 29%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 9.5% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 34% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 20%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we find it odd that Huafu Fashion is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Huafu Fashion's P/S

Despite Huafu Fashion's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

A look at Huafu Fashion's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Huafu Fashion you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

If you're unsure about the strength of Huafu Fashion's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Huafu Fashion is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.