Stock Analysis

Market Cool On Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300952) Earnings Pushing Shares 27% Lower

SZSE:300952
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Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300952) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 24% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.7x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 28x and even P/E's higher than 52x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300952 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 5th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product.

Is There Any Growth For Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 5.4%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 20% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 45% per year as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 24% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it odd that Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product's P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product (at least 1 which is significant), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.