Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Zhejiang Zoenn Design Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300901) After Shares Rise 28%

SZSE:300901
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Zhejiang Zoenn Design Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300901) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 14% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in China's Commercial Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3x, you may consider Zhejiang Zoenn Design as a stock to avoid entirely with its 6.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Zhejiang Zoenn Design

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300901 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 28th 2024

What Does Zhejiang Zoenn Design's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Zhejiang Zoenn Design over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhejiang Zoenn Design's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Zhejiang Zoenn Design's Revenue Growth Trending?

Zhejiang Zoenn Design's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 22%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 34% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 33% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Zhejiang Zoenn Design is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Zhejiang Zoenn Design's P/S?

Zhejiang Zoenn Design's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Zhejiang Zoenn Design revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Zoenn Design (of which 2 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zhejiang Zoenn Design might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.