Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By QiaoYin City Management Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002973) Low P/E

SZSE:002973
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.1x QiaoYin City Management Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002973) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 38x and even P/E's higher than 74x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, QiaoYin City Management has been very sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for QiaoYin City Management

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002973 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 11th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on QiaoYin City Management will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

QiaoYin City Management's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 22% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 6.7% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 20% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 38%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that QiaoYin City Management's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of QiaoYin City Management's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware QiaoYin City Management is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.

You might be able to find a better investment than QiaoYin City Management. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if QiaoYin City Management might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.