Stock Analysis

Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management's (SZSE:002183) Dividend Will Be Reduced To CN¥0.012

SZSE:002183
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Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd. (SZSE:002183) has announced that on 28th of June, it will be paying a dividend ofCN¥0.012, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 0.4%, which is lower than the average for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management

Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end. Based on the last payment, Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. With the company not bringing in any cash, paying out to shareholders is bound to become difficult at some point.

Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 26.5% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 16% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

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SZSE:002183 Historic Dividend June 24th 2024

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was CN¥0.035 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was CN¥0.012. Dividend payments have fallen sharply, down 66% over that time. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS is growing. Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 27% per annum. A low payout ratio gives the company a lot of flexibility, and growing earnings also make it very easy for it to grow the dividend.

In Summary

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. To that end, Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.