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A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Guosheng Shian Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603778) 26% Share Price Climb
Despite an already strong run, Guosheng Shian Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603778) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 29% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Guosheng Shian Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Commercial Services industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.1x and even P/S above 6x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for Guosheng Shian Technology
How Guosheng Shian Technology Has Been Performing
The revenue growth achieved at Guosheng Shian Technology over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Guosheng Shian Technology will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guosheng Shian Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Guosheng Shian Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 13%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, even though the last 12 months were fairly tame in comparison. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 36% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Guosheng Shian Technology's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Final Word
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Guosheng Shian Technology's P/S close to the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We're very surprised to see Guosheng Shian Technology currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. Potential investors that are sceptical over continued revenue performance may be preventing the P/S ratio from matching previous strong performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Guosheng Shian Technology that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603778
Guosheng Shian Technology
Engages in the garden engineering construction, garden landscape design, and seedling sales businesses in China.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.