Optimistic Investors Push Jiusheng Electric Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301082) Shares Up 28% But Growth Is Lacking

Jiusheng Electric Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301082) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 16% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, Jiusheng Electric's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 48.4x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 31x and even P/E's below 19x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

For instance, Jiusheng Electric's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Jiusheng Electric

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiusheng Electric's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Jiusheng Electric?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Jiusheng Electric's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 4.1%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 49% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 38% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Jiusheng Electric is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

Jiusheng Electric's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Jiusheng Electric currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Jiusheng Electric (3 are significant!) that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.