Stock Analysis

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Nanjing Railway New Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:301016) Current Share Price Momentum?

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SZSE:301016

Nanjing Railway New TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:301016) stock is up by a considerable 28% over the past month. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Nanjing Railway New TechnologyLtd's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Nanjing Railway New TechnologyLtd

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Nanjing Railway New TechnologyLtd is:

6.1% = CN¥64m ÷ CN¥1.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.06 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Nanjing Railway New TechnologyLtd's Earnings Growth And 6.1% ROE

When you first look at it, Nanjing Railway New TechnologyLtd's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.0%. Having said that, Nanjing Railway New TechnologyLtd's five year net income decline rate was 17%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

However, when we compared Nanjing Railway New TechnologyLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 8.7% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

SZSE:301016 Past Earnings Growth October 16th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Nanjing Railway New TechnologyLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Nanjing Railway New TechnologyLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 35% (where it is retaining 65% of its profits), Nanjing Railway New TechnologyLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

In addition, Nanjing Railway New TechnologyLtd only recently started paying a dividend so the management probably decided the shareholders prefer dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Nanjing Railway New TechnologyLtd can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Nanjing Railway New TechnologyLtd.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nanjing Railway New TechnologyLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.