Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Jiangsu Yangdian Science & Technology Co. Ltd.'s (SZSE:301012) Massive 50% Price Jump

SZSE:301012
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Jiangsu Yangdian Science & Technology Co. Ltd. (SZSE:301012) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 50% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 38% over that time.

Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in China's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, you may consider Jiangsu Yangdian Science & Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 6.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu Yangdian Science & Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301012 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

How Has Jiangsu Yangdian Science & Technology Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Jiangsu Yangdian Science & Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Jiangsu Yangdian Science & Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Jiangsu Yangdian Science & Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?

Jiangsu Yangdian Science & Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 42% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 8.8% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Jiangsu Yangdian Science & Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has lead to Jiangsu Yangdian Science & Technology's P/S soaring as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Jiangsu Yangdian Science & Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Jiangsu Yangdian Science & Technology (at least 2 which don't sit too well with us), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.