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Optimistic Investors Push Guangdong DP Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300808) Shares Up 27% But Growth Is Lacking
Those holding Guangdong DP Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300808) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.5% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in China's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, you may consider Guangdong DPLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong DPLtd
What Does Guangdong DPLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Guangdong DPLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Guangdong DPLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Guangdong DPLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Guangdong DPLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 9.8% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 33% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Guangdong DPLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Shares in Guangdong DPLtd have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Guangdong DPLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Guangdong DPLtd (2 are concerning!) that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Guangdong DPLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300808
Guangdong DPLtd
Engages in the research and development, design, production, and sale of LED lighting products in China.
Excellent balance sheet unattractive dividend payer.