Stock Analysis

Guangdong DP Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300808) 29% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

SZSE:300808
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Guangdong DP Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300808) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 7.7% over the last twelve months.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in China's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, you may still consider Guangdong DPLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong DPLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300808 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 23rd 2024

How Has Guangdong DPLtd Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Guangdong DPLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Guangdong DPLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Guangdong DPLtd?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Guangdong DPLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 9.8%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 33% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 23% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Guangdong DPLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price drop, Guangdong DPLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Guangdong DPLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Guangdong DPLtd (3 are significant!) that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Guangdong DPLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Guangdong DPLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.