Stock Analysis
Some Confidence Is Lacking In OMH SCIENCE Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:300486) As Shares Slide 25%
The OMH SCIENCE Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:300486) share price has softened a substantial 25% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 3.1% in the last year.
Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think OMH SCIENCE Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Machinery industry is similar at about 2.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for OMH SCIENCE Group
How OMH SCIENCE Group Has Been Performing
For example, consider that OMH SCIENCE Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for OMH SCIENCE Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like OMH SCIENCE Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 10%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 33% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 22% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that OMH SCIENCE Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What Does OMH SCIENCE Group's P/S Mean For Investors?
OMH SCIENCE Group's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
The fact that OMH SCIENCE Group currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for OMH SCIENCE Group (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300486
OMH SCIENCE Group
Engages in the research and development, production, and sales of intelligent production systems, intelligent logistics storage systems, intelligent parking systems, and other products in China and internationally.