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Some Confidence Is Lacking In Changshu Tianyin Electromechanical Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300342) P/S
When close to half the companies in the Electrical industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may consider Changshu Tianyin Electromechanical Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300342) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 6.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd
How Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd Has Been Performing
Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 18% gain to the company's top line. Revenue has also lifted 7.1% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's alarming that Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
The fact that Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd you should be aware of, and 2 of them make us uncomfortable.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SZSE:300342
Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd
Engages in the research and development, production, and sale of refrigerator compressor parts in China.
Flawless balance sheet slight.