Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300208) With Shares Advancing 34%

SZSE:300208
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Those holding Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300208) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 34% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 77% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2x, you may consider Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300208 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024

How Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 54%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 24% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd's P/S

Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.