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Gaona Aero Material Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300034) Price Is Out Of Tune With Earnings
Gaona Aero Material Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300034) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 41.2x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 32x and even P/E's below 20x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Gaona Aero Material certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Gaona Aero Material
Keen to find out how analysts think Gaona Aero Material's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Gaona Aero Material's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Gaona Aero Material would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 6.3% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 45% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 26% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 25% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it interesting that Gaona Aero Material is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Gaona Aero Material currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Gaona Aero Material that you need to take into consideration.
You might be able to find a better investment than Gaona Aero Material. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300034
Gaona Aero Material
Engages in the research and development, production, and sale of intermetallic compounds, aluminum-magnesium-titanium, and other materials and products in China.
High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.