Stock Analysis

China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002542) Price Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

SZSE:002542
Source: Shutterstock

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Construction industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002542) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 1.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002542 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 12th 2024

How Has China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group Performed Recently?

For instance, China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 16%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 49% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 20% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group's P/S

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.