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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Jiangsu Zhongli Group Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002309) 27% Share Price Plunge
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Jiangsu Zhongli Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002309) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 64% loss during that time.
Following the heavy fall in price, when close to half the companies operating in China's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2.1x, you may consider Jiangsu Zhongli GroupLtd as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
See our latest analysis for Jiangsu Zhongli GroupLtd
What Does Jiangsu Zhongli GroupLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Jiangsu Zhongli GroupLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Jiangsu Zhongli GroupLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
Jiangsu Zhongli GroupLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 49% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 50% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 23% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Jiangsu Zhongli GroupLtd's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Final Word
Jiangsu Zhongli GroupLtd's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Jiangsu Zhongli GroupLtd confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware Jiangsu Zhongli GroupLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Jiangsu Zhongli GroupLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002309
Jiangsu Zhongli GroupLtd
Manufactures and sells cables and photovoltaic products in China and internationally.
Slightly overvalued with imperfect balance sheet.