XinJiang GuoTong Pipeline CO.,Ltd's (SZSE:002205) Price Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Building industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, XinJiang GuoTong Pipeline CO.,Ltd (SZSE:002205) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 2.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
View our latest analysis for XinJiang GuoTong PipelineLtd
What Does XinJiang GuoTong PipelineLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that XinJiang GuoTong PipelineLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on XinJiang GuoTong PipelineLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is XinJiang GuoTong PipelineLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, XinJiang GuoTong PipelineLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 47%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 38% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that XinJiang GuoTong PipelineLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that XinJiang GuoTong PipelineLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for XinJiang GuoTong PipelineLtd that you need to be mindful of.
If you're unsure about the strength of XinJiang GuoTong PipelineLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002205
XinJiang GuoTong PipelineLtd
Engages in the design and manufacture of prestressed concrete cylinder pipes (PCCP) in China.
Imperfect balance sheet and overvalued.