Stock Analysis

The Sieyuan Electric Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002028) Annual Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

SZSE:002028
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It's shaping up to be a tough period for Sieyuan Electric Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002028), which a week ago released some disappointing yearly results that could have a notable impact on how the market views the stock. Results look to have been somewhat negative - revenue fell 4.9% short of analyst estimates at CN¥12b, and statutory earnings of CN¥2.02 per share missed forecasts by 5.2%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Sieyuan Electric

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SZSE:002028 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 22nd 2024

Following the latest results, Sieyuan Electric's eleven analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥15.3b in 2024. This would be a substantial 23% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to surge 32% to CN¥2.66. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥15.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.67 in 2024. The consensus seems maybe a little more pessimistic, trimming their revenue forecasts after the latest results even though there was no change to its EPS estimates.

The consensus has reconfirmed its price target of CN¥65.45, showing that the analysts don't expect weaker revenue expectations next year to have a material impact on Sieyuan Electric's market value. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Sieyuan Electric, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥73.00 and the most bearish at CN¥57.86 per share. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The analysts are definitely expecting Sieyuan Electric's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 23% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 18% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 18% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Sieyuan Electric is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. They also downgraded Sieyuan Electric's revenue estimates, but industry data suggests that it is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. With that said, earnings are more important to the long-term value of the business. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥65.45, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Sieyuan Electric going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.