Stock Analysis

Statutory Profit Doesn't Reflect How Good Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd's (SZSE:000951) Earnings Are

SZSE:000951
Source: Shutterstock

Even though Sinotruk Jinan Truck Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:000951) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.

Check out our latest analysis for Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:000951 Earnings and Revenue History April 1st 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to December 2023, Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd had an accrual ratio of -0.28. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥1.6b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥1.08b. Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! Furthermore, it has done a great job growing EPS over the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.