Stock Analysis

Is Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology (SZSE:000157) Using Too Much Debt?

SZSE:000157
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000157) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology

How Much Debt Does Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology had CN¥25.4b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥15.7b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥9.74b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000157 Debt to Equity History March 11th 2025

How Healthy Is Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology had liabilities of CN¥48.0b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥20.5b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥15.7b in cash and CN¥28.9b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥24.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥68.9b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

We'd say that Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 2.3), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 1k times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology grew its EBIT by 7.6% in the last year. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Neither Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its net debt to EBITDA gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.