Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd.

SZSE:000157 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥58.1b

Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Valuation

Is 000157 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000157 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000157 (CN¥6.92) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥13.79)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000157 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000157?

Key metric: As 000157 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 000157. This is calculated by dividing 000157's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 000157's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.8x
EarningsCN¥3.79b
Market CapCN¥58.06b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 000157's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 000157 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.7x
000800 FAW Jiefang GroupLtd
58.4x76.4%CN¥43.8b
000425 XCMG Construction Machinery
15.4x25.8%CN¥90.7b
600066 Yutong BusLtd
15.3x17.3%CN¥51.5b
600482 China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power
45.9x55.4%CN¥52.6b
000157 Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology
15.8x24.0%CN¥58.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000157 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x) compared to the peer average (33.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 000157's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
002021 Zoje Resources Investment
4.6xn/aUS$428.07m
No more companies available in this PE range
000157 15.8xIndustry Avg. 35.8xNo. of Companies56PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000157 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (35.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000157's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000157 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.8x
Fair PE Ratio28.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000157 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 000157 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥6.92
CN¥8.46
+22.2%
15.7%CN¥10.50CN¥6.00n/a7
Nov ’25CN¥7.13
CN¥8.42
+18.1%
16.9%CN¥10.50CN¥6.00n/a6
Oct ’25CN¥7.58
CN¥7.94
+4.7%
19.9%CN¥10.50CN¥6.00n/a6
Sep ’25CN¥6.32
CN¥8.91
+40.9%
14.6%CN¥11.60CN¥7.30n/a7
Aug ’25CN¥6.71
CN¥8.91
+32.7%
14.6%CN¥11.60CN¥7.30n/a7
Jul ’25CN¥7.80
CN¥9.12
+16.9%
14.7%CN¥11.60CN¥7.30n/a6
Jun ’25CN¥8.03
CN¥9.18
+14.4%
15.0%CN¥11.60CN¥7.30n/a6
May ’25CN¥8.51
CN¥8.31
-2.3%
11.7%CN¥9.90CN¥6.80n/a7
Apr ’25CN¥8.51
CN¥7.66
-10.0%
14.3%CN¥9.00CN¥5.60n/a7
Mar ’25CN¥8.00
CN¥7.11
-11.1%
18.0%CN¥9.00CN¥5.20n/a8
Feb ’25CN¥7.20
CN¥6.84
-5.0%
16.6%CN¥8.70CN¥5.20n/a8
Jan ’25CN¥6.53
CN¥6.95
+6.4%
14.8%CN¥8.70CN¥5.20n/a9
Dec ’24CN¥6.40
CN¥6.95
+8.6%
14.8%CN¥8.70CN¥5.20n/a9
Nov ’24CN¥6.28
CN¥7.07
+12.6%
11.4%CN¥8.70CN¥5.80CN¥7.139
Oct ’24CN¥6.85
CN¥6.97
+1.7%
11.2%CN¥8.62CN¥5.80CN¥7.5810
Sep ’24CN¥6.73
CN¥6.68
-0.7%
13.0%CN¥8.62CN¥4.80CN¥6.3211
Aug ’24CN¥6.86
CN¥6.51
-5.2%
10.5%CN¥7.30CN¥4.80CN¥6.719
Jul ’24CN¥6.75
CN¥6.47
-4.1%
10.4%CN¥7.30CN¥4.80CN¥7.809
Jun ’24CN¥6.35
CN¥6.47
+1.9%
10.5%CN¥7.30CN¥4.80CN¥8.039
May ’24CN¥6.48
CN¥6.36
-1.9%
13.4%CN¥7.30CN¥4.80CN¥8.517
Apr ’24CN¥6.21
CN¥6.52
+5.0%
14.6%CN¥8.00CN¥4.80CN¥8.518
Mar ’24CN¥6.80
CN¥6.13
-9.9%
15.6%CN¥8.00CN¥4.80CN¥8.009
Feb ’24CN¥5.86
CN¥6.13
+4.6%
15.6%CN¥8.00CN¥4.80CN¥7.209
Jan ’24CN¥5.44
CN¥6.09
+11.9%
18.9%CN¥8.00CN¥3.90CN¥6.5311
Dec ’23CN¥5.81
CN¥5.84
+0.6%
23.0%CN¥8.00CN¥3.90CN¥6.4010
Nov ’23CN¥5.50
CN¥5.94
+8.0%
21.5%CN¥8.00CN¥4.10CN¥6.2811

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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