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Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd (SHSE:688005) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688005) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd
How Much Debt Does Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd had CN¥6.98b of debt, an increase on CN¥5.70b, over one year. However, it does have CN¥4.21b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥2.78b.
A Look At Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥10.2b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥5.64b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.21b as well as receivables valued at CN¥8.83b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥2.77b.
Of course, Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥16.4b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While we wouldn't worry about Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.0, we think its super-low interest cover of 2.2 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Worse, Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd's EBIT was down 89% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Overall, it seems to us that Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:688005
Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd
Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd.
High growth potential slight.