Power HF Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:605100) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 27%
Power HF Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605100) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Power HF may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.1x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 36x and even P/E's higher than 71x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Power HF certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Power HF
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Power HF, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Power HF would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 64% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 45% drop in EPS in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 39% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we are not surprised that Power HF is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Final Word
Despite Power HF's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Power HF revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Power HF that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Power HF, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:605100
Power HF
Researches and develops, manufactures, and sells diesel engines in China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.