Stock Analysis

Zhejiang Yaguang TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:603282) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture

SHSE:603282
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A lackluster earnings announcement from Zhejiang Yaguang Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603282) last week didn't sink the stock price. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Yaguang TechnologyLtd

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SHSE:603282 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2024

Zooming In On Zhejiang Yaguang TechnologyLtd's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Zhejiang Yaguang TechnologyLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.43. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥163.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥113m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥113m, this year, indicates high risk.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Yaguang TechnologyLtd.

Our Take On Zhejiang Yaguang TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think Zhejiang Yaguang TechnologyLtd's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Zhejiang Yaguang TechnologyLtd's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 42% over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into Zhejiang Yaguang TechnologyLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, we've found that Zhejiang Yaguang TechnologyLtd has 2 warning signs (1 is potentially serious!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Zhejiang Yaguang TechnologyLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zhejiang Yaguang TechnologyLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.