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Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd (SHSE:603275) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of
Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603275) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.
Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd
Zooming In On Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.42 for the year to March 2024. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥198.6m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥27m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥99m a year ago though, so Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But at least holders can take some solace from the 6.0% EPS growth in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. While conducting our analysis, we found that Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603275
Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic TechnologyLtd
Shanghai Zhongchen Electronic Technology Co.,Ltd.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.