Stock Analysis

CRRC (SHSE:601766) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

SHSE:601766
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that CRRC Corporation Limited (SHSE:601766) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for CRRC

How Much Debt Does CRRC Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that CRRC had CN¥26.0b in debt in December 2023; about the same as the year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥66.2b in cash, so it actually has CN¥40.2b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601766 Debt to Equity History April 19th 2024

How Strong Is CRRC's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, CRRC had liabilities of CN¥250.4b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥24.9b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥66.2b and CN¥167.8b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥41.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given CRRC has a humongous market capitalization of CN¥207.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, CRRC boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Also good is that CRRC grew its EBIT at 13% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if CRRC can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While CRRC has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, CRRC actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Summing Up

While CRRC does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥40.2b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥6.6b, being 102% of its EBIT. So we don't think CRRC's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that CRRC is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether CRRC is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.