Stock Analysis

Anhui Great Wall Military Industry (SHSE:601606) Has Some Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

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SHSE:601606

To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications of aging. Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. In light of that, from a first glance at Anhui Great Wall Military Industry (SHSE:601606), we've spotted some signs that it could be struggling, so let's investigate.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Anhui Great Wall Military Industry:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.0033 = CN¥9.9m ÷ (CN¥4.4b - CN¥1.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

So, Anhui Great Wall Military Industry has an ROCE of 0.3%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Aerospace & Defense industry average of 4.3%.

Check out our latest analysis for Anhui Great Wall Military Industry

SHSE:601606 Return on Capital Employed July 30th 2024

While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Anhui Great Wall Military Industry has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Anhui Great Wall Military Industry's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

So How Is Anhui Great Wall Military Industry's ROCE Trending?

We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Anhui Great Wall Military Industry. About five years ago, returns on capital were 4.8%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Anhui Great Wall Military Industry becoming one if things continue as they have.

The Bottom Line On Anhui Great Wall Military Industry's ROCE

In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last five years have experienced a 29% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.

Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Anhui Great Wall Military Industry (of which 1 is concerning!) that you should know about.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.