Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To China XD Electric Co., Ltd (SHSE:601179) With Shares Advancing 27%

SHSE:601179
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China XD Electric Co., Ltd (SHSE:601179) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Looking further back, the 24% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 30x, you may consider China XD Electric as a stock to potentially avoid with its 40.8x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Recent times have been advantageous for China XD Electric as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for China XD Electric

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:601179 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 15th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think China XD Electric's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is China XD Electric's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as China XD Electric's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 43%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 263% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 16% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 36% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that China XD Electric is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From China XD Electric's P/E?

China XD Electric shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that China XD Electric currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for China XD Electric that you need to take into consideration.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether China XD Electric is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.