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China National Chemical Engineering Co., Ltd's (SHSE:601117) Stock Has Fared Decently: Is the Market Following Strong Financials?
China National Chemical Engineering's (SHSE:601117) stock is up by 3.7% over the past month. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to China National Chemical Engineering's ROE today.
Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
See our latest analysis for China National Chemical Engineering
How Is ROE Calculated?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China National Chemical Engineering is:
9.1% = CN¥6.2b ÷ CN¥68b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.09 in profit.
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.
A Side By Side comparison of China National Chemical Engineering's Earnings Growth And 9.1% ROE
At first glance, China National Chemical Engineering's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 6.9%, is definitely interesting. This probably goes some way in explaining China National Chemical Engineering's moderate 14% growth over the past five years amongst other factors. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. Such as- high earnings retention or the company belonging to a high growth industry.
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that China National Chemical Engineering's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 6.6% in the same period, which is great to see.
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if China National Chemical Engineering is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
Is China National Chemical Engineering Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
China National Chemical Engineering has a low three-year median payout ratio of 20%, meaning that the company retains the remaining 80% of its profits. This suggests that the management is reinvesting most of the profits to grow the business.
Moreover, China National Chemical Engineering is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 21%. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 9.5%.
Summary
On the whole, we feel that China National Chemical Engineering's performance has been quite good. In particular, it's great to see that the company has seen significant growth in its earnings backed by a respectable ROE and a high reinvestment rate. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:601117
China National Chemical Engineering
An industrial engineering company, engages in the general contracting of construction, infrastructure, and overseas projects in the fields of chemical, petrochemical, pharmaceutical, power, and coal industries in China.