Stock Analysis

Shareholders Can Be Confident That Gem-Year IndustrialLtd's (SHSE:601002) Earnings Are High Quality

SHSE:601002
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Gem-Year Industrial Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601002) recently posted some strong earnings, and the market responded positively. We have done some analysis, and we found several positive factors beyond the profit numbers.

View our latest analysis for Gem-Year IndustrialLtd

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:601002 Earnings and Revenue History November 5th 2024

Zooming In On Gem-Year IndustrialLtd's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Gem-Year IndustrialLtd recorded an accrual ratio of -0.13. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥569m, well over the CN¥62.4m it reported in profit. Gem-Year IndustrialLtd shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Gem-Year IndustrialLtd.

Our Take On Gem-Year IndustrialLtd's Profit Performance

Gem-Year IndustrialLtd's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Gem-Year IndustrialLtd's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! Furthermore, it has done a great job growing EPS over the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Gem-Year IndustrialLtd (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Gem-Year IndustrialLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.