Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Longjian Road&Bridge Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600853) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Longjian Road&BridgeLtd
What Is Longjian Road&BridgeLtd's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Longjian Road&BridgeLtd had CN„14.9b of debt, up from CN„14.2b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN„3.99b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN„10.9b.
How Strong Is Longjian Road&BridgeLtd's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Longjian Road&BridgeLtd had liabilities of CN„21.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN„8.38b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN„3.99b in cash and CN„11.4b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN„14.1b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the CN„3.63b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Longjian Road&BridgeLtd would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Longjian Road&BridgeLtd has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 11.3 which suggests a meaningful debt load. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 2.7 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. The good news is that Longjian Road&BridgeLtd improved its EBIT by 2.0% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Longjian Road&BridgeLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Longjian Road&BridgeLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Longjian Road&BridgeLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Longjian Road&BridgeLtd has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Longjian Road&BridgeLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600853
Longjian Road&BridgeLtd
Engages in the construction of roads and bridges in China and internationally.
Good value with proven track record and pays a dividend.