Stock Analysis

We Think Sumec (SHSE:600710) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

SHSE:600710
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Sumec Corporation Limited (SHSE:600710) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Sumec

What Is Sumec's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Sumec had debt of CN¥6.73b, up from CN¥3.03b in one year. However, it does have CN¥14.7b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥8.01b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600710 Debt to Equity History March 4th 2024

How Healthy Is Sumec's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Sumec had liabilities of CN¥41.1b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.51b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥14.7b and CN¥12.9b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥16.0b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CN¥10.7b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. Given that Sumec has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total.

Fortunately, Sumec grew its EBIT by 4.3% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sumec's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Sumec has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Sumec actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Summing Up

Although Sumec's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥8.01b. The cherry on top was that in converted 121% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥1.8b. So we are not troubled with Sumec's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Sumec has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Sumec is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.