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Hubei Huarong Holding Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600421) 27% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Hubei Huarong Holding Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600421) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 39% share price drop.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Trade Distributors industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.7x, you may still consider Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 10.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd
What Does Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 18% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 32% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's alarming that Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd's P/S
Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
The fact that Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600421
Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd
Through its subsidiaries, provides molds, mold tables, and various tooling shelves for prefabricated concrete (PC) components used in housing construction application.
Adequate balance sheet very low.