Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Fujian Longking (SHSE:600388) Is Using Debt Extensively

SHSE:600388
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Fujian Longking Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600388) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Fujian Longking

How Much Debt Does Fujian Longking Carry?

As you can see below, Fujian Longking had CN¥5.58b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have CN¥2.57b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥3.02b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600388 Debt to Equity History June 18th 2024

How Healthy Is Fujian Longking's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Fujian Longking had liabilities of CN¥12.4b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥4.61b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.57b as well as receivables valued at CN¥5.68b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥8.72b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥12.9b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Fujian Longking's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.2 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 13.6 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Unfortunately, Fujian Longking saw its EBIT slide 4.6% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Fujian Longking can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Fujian Longking burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Mulling over Fujian Longking's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Fujian Longking's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Fujian Longking that you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.