Stock Analysis

Guodian Nanjing Automation's (SHSE:600268) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

SHSE:600268
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Investors were underwhelmed by the solid earnings posted by Guodian Nanjing Automation Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600268) recently. We did some digging and actually think they are being unnecessarily pessimistic.

Check out our latest analysis for Guodian Nanjing Automation

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600268 Earnings and Revenue History May 2nd 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Guodian Nanjing Automation's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Guodian Nanjing Automation has an accrual ratio of -0.29 for the year to March 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN„1.2b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN„240.6m. Guodian Nanjing Automation shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Guodian Nanjing Automation.

Our Take On Guodian Nanjing Automation's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Guodian Nanjing Automation produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Guodian Nanjing Automation's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Better yet, its EPS are growing strongly, which is nice to see. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. While conducting our analysis, we found that Guodian Nanjing Automation has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Guodian Nanjing Automation's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.