Improved Earnings Required Before Inner Mongolia North Hauler Joint Stock Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600262) Stock's 26% Jump Looks Justified
Inner Mongolia North Hauler Joint Stock Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600262) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 13% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 30x, you may still consider Inner Mongolia North Hauler as an attractive investment with its 19x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Inner Mongolia North Hauler has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Inner Mongolia North Hauler
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Inner Mongolia North Hauler's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Inner Mongolia North Hauler's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Inner Mongolia North Hauler's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 26% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 124% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 41% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's understandable that Inner Mongolia North Hauler's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Despite Inner Mongolia North Hauler's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Inner Mongolia North Hauler maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Inner Mongolia North Hauler has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Inner Mongolia North Hauler. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600262
Inner Mongolia North Hauler
Inner Mongolia North Hauler Joint Stock Co., Ltd.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.