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There's No Escaping Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical Co., Ltd's (SHSE:600192) Muted Revenues Despite A 37% Share Price Rise
Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical Co., Ltd (SHSE:600192) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 37% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 24% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it would still be understandable if you think Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.9x, considering almost half the companies in China's Electrical industry have P/S ratios above 2.1x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
See our latest analysis for Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical
How Has Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.9%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What Does Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical's P/S Mean For Investors?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical's P/S close to the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
In line with expectations, Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600192
Lanzhou GreatWall Electrical
Engages in the research, development, manufacture, sale, and service of electrical and electronic products in China.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.